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Which is the Best ASX Bank to Buy in November 2024?

Why Banks Are More Exciting Than Brokers Realize

For over a year, brokers have been advising caution on banks. But they might be missing the bigger picture here.

Banks have experienced something called multiple expansion—take Westpac, for instance, which saw close to a 60% return over the past 12 months despite flat earnings. Its price-to-earnings (PE) ratio surged from 10 to 16.5.

Meanwhile, profitability metrics like Return on Equity (ROE) have trended down from around 18% two decades ago to roughly 10-12%. But here’s what brokers aren’t seeing: it’s not just about short-term earnings growth; it’s about earnings stability.

Banks as “Utility Stocks” with Reliable Dividends

Banks today act almost like utilities, providing stable returns thanks to their heavily regulated environment and focus on consistent earnings. With an average yield around 4.5%, these stocks appeal to investors seeking dividend income rather than rapid growth.

The banks have strategically shifted, with players like CBA and WBC moving into business banking, adjusting to market dynamics to preserve stability.

A major piece of the value lies in banks’ annuity streams, especially from their extensive mortgage books and substantial deposit bases. When ANZ announced the benefits of merging with Suncorp, it hinted at the enduring value these streams hold.

Where We See Opportunity: Macquarie Bank

While the big banks offer dividend security, Macquarie stands out with potential for growth. This bank has a knack for striking strategic deals, as seen in their sale of AirTrunk (an Asia-Pacific data center group) for a hefty $24 billion. We expect Macquarie to keep capitalizing on opportunities like these, making it a compelling pick.

Small Caps: When Growth Is the Name of the Game

When the market’s animal spirits are unleashed, small-cap stocks often offer the best value. They’re where you can find growth at value prices. Check out our Best Buys to discover small caps with growth potential in today’s market.

Stay Tuned: New Stock Picks and Portfolio Updates Coming Soon

On the horizon, we’re bringing fresh small-cap picks, a new look at our dividend portfolio, and even more ways to help you invest strategically. Follow our research to stay ahead of the curve and make the most of your investment journey.

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Richard Hemming

Founder, BA (Econ, maths statistics), FSIA

Richard is an experienced equities analyst, stockbroker, and financial editor, having worked for over 30 years in finance.

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